By Gemma Alexander
Graphics: Gemma Alexander
Over a period of several months, Gemma Alexander – a statistics guru extraordinaire – has been creating a unique stallion ranking based on the ‘carefulness’ of their offspring. The results – which can be seen in the graphic below and the table on the following page – provide some never-before-calculated insights into a highly sought-after quality that today’s sires are passing to their offspring, shaping sport horses who are and will be competing at the highest levels.
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The carefulness score for each stallion was collated by looking at the results of the top 10 offspring of each of the top 50 WBFSH Sire Rankings stallions from 2020; the list of these offspring is also provided by the WBFSH. (http:// www.wbfsh.org/files/WBFSH_Top_50_Jumping_Sires_with_Progeny_-_2020.pdf)
Results were taken from FEI-endorsed classes at a minimum height of 1m50, and consistently applying the following rules:
• Results taken from first round of competition only
• Table C and Accumulator classes not included
• Puissance and Six-Bar classes not included
• Time faults in first round ignored for purposes of carefulness ranking
• Rankings calculated by dividing the number of clear rounds (within parameters above) by the total number of 1m50+ classes entered to generate a % score
The stallion Prince van de Wolfsakker was excluded from the carefulness rankings as only three offspring were presented in the rankings; such a small number of offspring significantly skewed the results for this stallion, making them too unreliable to include.
The stallions were ranked into four categories based on their carefulness ranking:
• Very High (carefulness ranking >40%)
• High (30% to 39.99%)
• Average (20% to 29.99%)
• Low (<20%).
Topping the carefulness ranking is Cornet Obolensky (Clinton x Heartbreaker), coming in at just under 50% with a massive 48.39%. This means that his top 10 offspring produced a clear first showjumping round 48.39% of the time when competing in an FEI class at 1m50 or higher.
Coming in a very close second in the upcoming sire Eldorado van de Zeshoek (Clinton x Toulon) at 48.21%. Interestingly, Toulon is by Heartbreaker; the classic cross of Clinton x Heartbreaker not only produces results, it also (unsurprisingly) breeds carefulness!.. To read the complete article you need to be a subscriber
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